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It seems a bit unrealistic that a goverment that is either led by Zentrum or that Zentrum is a part of would pass a law relaxing abortion laws, seems even more unrealistic that Zentrum would get a bump in the polls from such a law. Why would conservatives/reactionaries see Zentrum unable or unwilling to stop a law loosening abortion laws and then decide to switch from the NSDAP to Zentrum?

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You pass it in the Reichstag as long as you get 50% of support in total, and Zentrum always gains from your voters by opposing your reform. It would increase their conservative vote share

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The law can only pass if the SPD + DDP + KPD has a majority, and the SPD controls the chancellor. My reasoning about Zentrum getting a bump is that passing the abortion law will increase political polarization by religion; Zentrum is an explicitly Christian and Catholic party while the Nazis had an ambiguous relationship with Christianity, so I think Zentrum would be better placed to benefit from this polarization.

I think they would be better placed to benefit from this polarization, but not if they are in goverment in my view.