i went and did the math with 3d8 to match up the result possibilities as much as possible, this is the end result.
3-6, (3.91,) =exactlysevens.
7-11, (27.73) =sixtofours.
12-17, (51.95) =threetoones.
18-24, (16.41) =doubles.
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wow, thank you so much! this is so helpful! it’s fun to have the curtain pulled back on the probability like this, too — though it may not be obvious in the rules themselves, the game IS balanced so that an affection or plot end (i.e. a “good end”) is significantly more likely than a suspicion end. is that a little sneaky of me? sure. but we’re all kind of hoping for that anyway, right!
new expert challenge mode: try to get busted