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I wanted 8 or 16 for my third guess to add one or two more factors of 2 beyond just being divisible by 4.

Makes sense.

You made this more complicated than necessary given that you involved Wolfram Alpha.

I was explaining why I thought the way I did. I involved WA because I wanted to be sure that I didn't miss any candidates (and as you can see, I did). This is not how I was thinking when I was doing the xdle, and also I like to only use pen and paper when solving. When I played, it was more to the effect of "oh x-744 is square that means it has to be 744 + 49".

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After a few boring days (e.g., yesterday's, if starting with 499 and the perfect cube clue, should have taken exactly 3 guesses), today's was a testament to reverting to my original strategy of maximizing factors on your second guess.

  • x<499; (499 - x)'s largest prime divisor is 17

My initial instinct was to use 15 * 17 = 255 since that splits the two halves most evenly.  However, 499 - 255 = 244 = 2² * 61.  That's only 6 factors.

However, if I subtracted 289 instead, my guess would be 210 = 2 * 3 * 5 * 7 for 16 factors.  That was too tempting to pass up.  This paid off as my clue was "x<210; x and 210's largest divisor is 5."  That narrows it down to one candidate.  5 * 17 is 85, so 210 - 85 = 125.  However, 210 - 170 = 40, would not be as then the largest divisor would have been 10.

Even if that had gone the other direct and was "x>210;  x and 210's largest divisor is 5," then the answer would have been 210 + 85 = 295, since 210 + 255 = 465 would have had the largest divisor of 15.

Had I gone with the more median choice of 244, I would have received the less useful repeat of the "(244-x)'s largest prime divisor is 17" clue.  Unless the return clue from 244 was "largest divisor is 4," "largest divisor is 61," or a random clue of "(244 x)'s largest divisor is <something big>," then the clue from 210 was going to be more useful.

I firmly believe that 210 was the best option for the second guess.

Similarly, had the first clue gone the other direction with "x>499; (x - 499)'s largest prime divisor is 17," the best second guess would be 720 (2⁴ * 3² * 5 for 30 factors) and not the more central 754.
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ETA (11/2): Today had the same scenario with "x<499; (499-x)'s largest prime divisor is 71."  Assuming 499-71 is impossible, there are 6 candidates: 499 - 71n, where n is 2, 3, 4, 5, 6. or 7.  The median is n = 4.5.

Using n=4 yields a guess of 215 = 5 * 43.  Won't yield any "x and 210's largest divisor is 5" clues as adding or subtracting 355 would put it out of range.  215 risks a repeat of "(499-x)'s largest prime divisor is 71."

Meanwhile, n=5 yields a guess of 144, which is fantastic.  That has a lot more factors than we can use.  Regardless of the direction, it could give a response of x and 144's largest divisor is 2, 3, or 4....though it shouldn't be 4.  That would allow you to nail the next guess.  Otherwise, if the solution were 144 ± 71, then you'd either get a "is prime" or a different clue that you could pinpoint the answer.

It turns out that using n=4 was fine as instead of (x-215) is prime, it gave "(x+215)'s largest prime divisor is 167," which also points to 286.