itch.io

it's the score probability, not the lose chance

basically, the probability of getting there and losing at that exact score

edit: to answer the 1 starting so low, it's very unlikely that you will lose with a low score, even though it's very likely that you'll get there

I had an image attached with the score, but it disappeared

BUT^2! I have just calculated it to be 31! tho 1 in 183 runs get that far, 1 in 591 runs end there! furthermore, the likelihood of getting 100 seems to be 1 in 10^42

another fun fact, losing at a score of 1 is less likely than getting as far as 29!

here's my chart (logarithmic didn't make it more readable)

alpha distributions baby

in just a couple tries

chances are against this completely

getting this max is a 1/591 run

I use it that way and forgot to invert it back before building lol