First, all the opponents in the arena are bots, you don't play against real opponents or real decks. So seeing lvl 13+ opponents doesn't mean anything. Second, Spheedy published the percentages at some point on the discord server, but it was something like 2% chance to get a red chest in lvl 9 arena (unless you are out of slots, in which case it is much higher). Third, the prizes indicate you can get multiple types of souls, ie a red chest will give you arley or triplity souls but can give other lower level souls as well- in theory you could get 6 different kinds, but it's usually less. Since the lower level souls are useless, none of this matters. No other prizes are awarded for arena chests, other than viagra for the three star bonus chest and of course, filling requirements in events. Fourth, the percentage chances are actually identical in league 9 and 10 (again, based on numbers posted by spheedy a while back in discord), so the answer to that doesn't really matter. I'd guess the league you are currently in when you open the chest, as that's how the three star bonus chest works.
promnius
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Has anyone gotten any legendary upgraded to the third tier? By my calculations, you'd have to have all the blues fully upgraded (not too hard) AND both reds upgraded once- which means at least 4 of the red chests (if you're lucky enough to get two of each). I suppose this isn't impossible- maintain silver for 3 days and grind the fourth with the tokens given from the blue chest . . . BUT, you'd also need to research 4 combos for each. with enough p2p equipment (research upgrade, 3rd slot, etc.) this might not be impossible, but remember f2p can't even get one of these cards until day 3-4 because of the first paywall block . . . A level 21 legendary card would be a wonderful backup to Emma, the game is sorely lacking tanks right now (and it'd be even better because it could combo/ has better attack), but I don't think it's possible for me. Don't get me started on 4th tier, lol.
Actually, it's not fixed. I just checked mine now and you're completely right, all of the rankings have scores not divisible by 5. well at least that means we can all be number 1 (if we pay enough to get 50k tokens per day . . .), and we know what thresholds to target: 18-20k for third tier, 33-35k for second tier, and 48-50k for first tier. If you're not going to make the next tier in a given day, you might as well stop progressing or else you'll be wasting non-re-playable missions that are your only real source of tokens . . . no way are you getting 50k from playing the rooms 4 times a day, even at high levels.
Lol there's a second currency block a few levels later- after you've spent your 15000 you have to purchase 2 coffers, except the missions have only given you 8-9k worth since the spend 15000 mission, and previous purchases don't count. At least you have more rooms unlocked so this one will only take a day or so to grind out, but still, on a 7 day event anything that stalls like that is burning time, plus it's another day you can't make the rankings.
Speaking of rankings, does anyone know are we actually ranked against other players? I find it very odd that the top players always score roughly 50k and build it up evenly throughout the 24 hour period- including on the first day when all f2p players can't be doing anything at all because of the first paywall.