Post by jacpa2011 in THE BUTTON comments

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jacpa201134 days ago

actually its wayyy more, 1 in 1 followed by 157 zeros or 1 in 10^157

I had an image attached with the score, but it disappeared

BUT^2! I have just calculated it to be 31! tho 1 in 183 runs get that far, 1 in 591 runs end there! furthermore, the likelihood of getting 100 seems to be 1 in 10^42

another fun fact, losing at a score of 1 is less likely than getting as far as 29!

here's my chart (logarithmic didn't make it more readable)

alpha distributions baby

jacpa201133 days ago

hold on why does 1 start so low, if this is the chance to lose, why does the rest drop to 0?

Edgarra33 days ago (1 edit)

it's the score probability, not the lose chance

basically, the probability of getting there and losing at that exact score

edit: to answer the 1 starting so low, it's very unlikely that you will lose with a low score, even though it's very likely that you'll get there

itch.io

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