Just posting a bump to see if anyone could enlighten, we do find the pattern rather odd.
Viewing post in Game is showing downloads but no purchases
Your game is not very big. Maybe someone having trouble with itch app and doing tests with your poor app - since it is paid and not very big. I see no dl with only 1, wich is the most striking oddity. We see 0, 3, 4 and 2, but no 1.
And except for sep 10, you always have 0 on sundays.
I assume the views are disconnected from the downloads entirely, since there we see all numbers from 0-4.
But you posted this 6 weeks ago, and it is still ongoing.
Would an interupted download show up as a download? Maybe a file is corrupted on users end and itch app constantly tries to fix it. Or some file on users end get deleted regularly. Itch app installs in places where not executeables should be installed. Since there is no page view correlation with the downloads, I would bet that it is the itch app doing the downloads.