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ed765super

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A member registered May 24, 2018 · View creator page →

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I'd love for something that  can upgrade btwn rounds. Like a super minuscule permanent upgrade

We should DEFINITELY get that version updater that's on patreon to here as well😅

This is great, but could use a lot more choices. Even if they dont amount to anything.

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"he's going to see way fewer Steam sales as people like me are not going to buy it as we feel let down!"

Lets run the numbers on that.

I'm from the US so assume all numbers are in American units (I.e. Dollars, cents, mm/dd/yyyy, footballs per guns).

Most of my data is from SteamDB which is a well enough trusted source for this kind of information.

The game launched on steam on November 19th. Scraping the sales data, its garnered between 3.4k - 6.4k from then to January 5th. It has an average daily player count of 60. Note: that this is Player and not installation. Steam typically does 1, 7, 14, 30, etc. for its player count metrics. Considering its 233 24hr peak and the absolute girth of content the game already has, its safe to assume within your regular 24 hour span it's a lot more that 60. The game currently sits at number 2416 of top selling games. Not Adult games, Not Visual Novels, GAMES. 

With the 95+ positive rating and nearly 2.5k followers waiting to see what's next, I can say with confidence that you and those like you are mathematically in the minority based on the raw data alone.

I could also prove statistically, by taking a large sample size and comparing the same data with other Visual novels that are in a similar state as this one. That is, games that are literally 1 (or a few chapters/updates) away from completion i.e. Chasing sunsets, Between two worlds, Cumona Beach, Adventures of a rookie superhero, etc. But most aren't on steam nor have plans to be there thus I'd have to compare itch.io numbers, which wouldn't line up with the domain of "Steam Sales"

Edit: Actually, if I form my hypothesis around specifically the claim you made that the absence of the chapter will significantly reduce sales, I think i can statistically prove you wrong as well. Bear with me as i haven't taken Stats since freshman year of college so I'm leaning on GPT & some discord friends of mine (with frankly WAY too much time on their hands) on this one.

First lets clarify the hypothesis:

  • Null Hypothesis (H0): Sales of the game will significantly decrease due to the lack of the final chapter.
  • Alternative Hypothesis (HA): Sales of the game will not significantly decrease (and may remain stable or even increase due to improvements in quality).

  • The claim that sales of the game will significantly decrease due to the absence of its final chapter is not supported by the available data. Despite the creator’s decision to focus on bug fixes and improving graphical renders instead of releasing the final chapter, player engagement has remained relatively stable. The average daily player count of 60, while lower than the all-time peak of 233 two months ago, shows consistent activity among a dedicated player base. Furthermore, a 95% confidence interval for daily players suggests the count is unlikely to drop below 56, indicating a steady core audience. This retention undermines the argument that the absence of the final chapter is driving players away.

    Additionally, the overwhelmingly positive reception of the game suggests that quality improvements are resonating with the community. With 95.61% of reviews being positive and only five negative reviews, players appear to appreciate the creator’s efforts to enhance the game’s experience. The game also maintains a following of 2,456 users on Steam, indicating sustained interest. Positive reviews and a strong following typically correlate with continued sales, suggesting that the game is successfully retaining its audience despite the missing content.

    Gross income estimates of $3.4k–$6.4k further demonstrate that the game continues to generate revenue. While sales data alone would provide a more direct measure, these figures, combined with stable player engagement and positive sentiment, contradict the notion of a significant decline in sales. Instead, the data suggests that the decision to prioritize quality improvements has mitigated potential concerns about the incomplete storyline, allowing the game to maintain its market performance.

    Specifically,

    We can construct a 95% confidence interval for the average daily player count (assuming it’s representative of overall engagement). Let’s calculate this:

    Parameters:

    • Mean daily player count (): 60
    • Estimated standard deviation (σ): Assume ±10 (based on variability in player numbers).
    • Sample size (n): Number of days sampled (e.g., 30 days for a month).

    CI = x̄ ± z ⋅ σ/n

    For z=1.96 (95% CI):

    The equation becomes

    CI = 60 ± 1.96 ⋅ 10/sqrt(30)

    This gives: CI=[56.42,63.58]

    Interpretation:

    The average daily player count is unlikely to drop below ~56 players over that fairly significant amount of time, suggesting engagement remains relatively stable.


    Therefore UK_John, If  we just sampled this month and considered a "significant decrease" defined as average engagement dropping below 50, I can reject the null hypothesis with 95% confidence because the CI does not include values that low. Your assertion that "sales will decline due to the missing final chapter is speculative and not supported by the evidence". Now you could argue that "significant decrease" is loosely defined as "any decline" (which would be dumb, frankly), I'd concede that the current data does not robustly reject the null hypothesis. However it would still suggest stability which would still prove that you're in the minority.

    He says that there will be an Episode 25 (and that episode will conclude the story) after he finishes up with all the stuff he's doin

    what is it?

    Is there a discord?

    Made for me

    its a good idle game. solid feet too. Only gripe is that you have to have the items equipped in order to get their bonuses.

    you can click the follow button for updates

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    holy moly. 4.9 is a big one.

    usually it takes 30 seconds most to extract, this took 4 minutes XD

    Makes me feel like we got a lot of consequences for our actions here.


    Also, is it possible to put an icon in the top right that explains our relationships. We have a lot of characters now and I'm finding myself going "who?" a lot more often than not😅

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    She barefoot under there

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    Is the $5 give us access for the entire series? Or would we have to pay 5 for each update?

    I'll consider it when its done and if its the final part

    Lets goooo!

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    An extremely angry comment that's genuinely happy to see an ebony badass taking an MC role (we surprisingly dont see that a lot on itch.io)

    One thing tho. It is really hard to get into the story with the MASSIVE info dumb at the beginning with her literally just standing there. I get that her being in her own head is part of her character, but you get that pretty quick. Could be better intersplicing with a bar-goer's comments or a non-essential choice the player could make to keep their attention. For example maybe before she goes into the big fight with her mom a QTE happens where ya gotta dodge a bottle from the patrons that are playing whatever game is clearly visible. That could then lead to the swaft of italicized dialogue.

    The current prevailling theory in the discord is that the author got nabbed by the mexican drug cartel. Bro is cooked. Maybe one of the mods can take over

    Are there plans for monika or yuki to be implemented?

    Eventually

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    After going exclusive with Val, I visited Mora and went "we need to end things", but the literal SCENE BEFORE Val's Mora stormed out after i said I didnt want to be exclusive with her. that was weird af and I assume is a relationship meter thing.
    Sadie also says "I didnt know you had a girlfriend" After you literally tell her that you're getting serious with someone during the breakup scene

    no prob, thanks for making an awesome game

    Fantastic game. Only negative is that sometimes the game will assume you did something when you didnt.


    spoiler:





    like if you dont get a d-pick from felix, but you do play games with him, it'll assume you did when you're at max's house. or if you dont peak on yun in the shower when you first meet, but do go along with her exhibitionism, it'll assume you did when you're talking with rosa during the tattooing

    Im gonna cry if i dont get my orc lay opportunity later on

    It says its unavailable now

    i dunno if the author would be cool with that. Just save, press new game and skip till ya get to the gas station. Its not hard to find.

    Its also the name of Vicky in the modern looking world

    Since .25 has character saving issues imma try and download this older version

    i see. Thank you

    if we completed 8 would we to rollback a bit to see the changes?

    the dick peaks through the middle back. And some functionality to hold a thrust would be neat

    While i dont remember any of their names, love seeing some ebony representation

    thanks fam

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    What does the "ken" term that Blair use mean? I know its some western European slang, but i cant put my finger on it.

    Is episode 25 gonna be the final episode?

    Episode 25 is presumably going to be the final episode. On pareon they're working on a season 1 demo. I think the plan is to get the demo up & ready and then fix everything from episodes 1-24 then release the final episode.

    these are getting huge. there should be a download that just is the updated stuff

    do you lose anything by downloading the compressed version instead of the uncompressed one?

    My B, this is a completely different game

    So... is the game dead now?

    The only thing keeping me from downloading is that I already have it on PC and my saves wouldnt transfer