The game doesn't show the current level of each building so I'll have to go from what is next to be built.
Under Research I have this displayed. Replicator 7, Greenhouse 7, Carbon Garden 7
Under Build I have this displayed. Solar Panel 8, Replicator 5, Greenhouse 4, Carbon Garden 5
I have 14 women in my base.
2 Food and 20 Water generates a surplus of supplies. 4 Food and 40 Water slowly depletes supplies over several days.
Conclusion, don't max out everything. Especially keep your Greenhouse low as it uses a lot of water. Invest in the thing you're running out of fastest and try to strike a balance with your other buildings.
There's one more thing but I don't want to spoil anything you might not have seen yet. Without saying too much about it, I'm gaining more than I'm losing at this point in my save.